200 Grande (with Chris’s “me too!” echoes right behind) seeks to portray the Herrity/Fimian primary as a boxing match, complete with scoring after every round. Kudos for the amusing graphic, but it’s time to be serious. We’re talking about a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives and the crossroads our country finds itself in this November, as Herrity laid out in his announcement last week. These little games can be fun, but the only “round” that matters is the one on November 2nd, and whether we defeat Gerry Connolly.

 

Pat Herrity remains focused on that goal, as he laid out in his remarks and continues to build momentum and support for his campaign. Unfortunately, Keith Fimian has taken a detour and instead taken his shots at Herrity. His “welcome” has been well-covered, but lost even in that midst is this example from Congressional Quarterly:

 

Said Fimian… “[Pat Herrity] is a big-government Republican just like Gerry Connolly is a big-government Democrat.”

 

Fimian declined to elaborate on his charge that Herrity is a “big-government Republican.”

 

Which sets up the biggest difference I can spot between Herrity supporters and Fimian supporters (thus far, as the race is only a few days old). Herrity supporters believe Fimian is a good guy, they largely supported him in 2008, they think his heart is in the right place, but they believe that Pat offers a better chance to beat Gerry Connolly and the liberal Democratic agenda in the fall. Meanwhile, Fimian throws out Democratic talking points against Herrity, and his supporters follow suit with name-calling, baseless accusations, and inane and silly comparisons, all of which require a deliberate ignorance of Pat Herrity and anything he’s done.

 

200 Grande and Chris believe that the chatter on forums such as those in this blog, a circus of the willing, prove that Fimian has won the “argument”. Which is absurd on many levels, especially when you consider that the central question they’re asking is: “Does Pat Herrity have too much support?” The argument goes, the fact that so many people are supporting Herrity is proof that he’s an “insider”. What that means and why it’s bad remains unclear, but whatever it is, it’s certainly nothing that outsiders like Eric Cantor would be a part of.

 

At the end of the day, Keith Fimian can have all the online victories in imaginary “rounds” that he likes. The bottom line is that he has already conceded that Pat Herrity is the frontrunner. Fimian needs to lay out a reason why he is a better choice for nominee than Herrity—rather than just wildly fling attacks and then refuse to back them up—and he hasn’t done that. And all the ankle-biting comments on blogs posted in the past week doesn’t even begin to make up for that.

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Jan 19th by VA Blogger

patherrityforcongressAs expected and reported elsewhere, Supervisor Pat Herrity officially declared his candidacy for the United States Congress this morning. Herrity gave a brief speech and took questions while distributing a lengthy list of endorsements, including Dels. Albo, Hugo, Comstock, the two other Republican Fairfax Supervisors, three PWC GOP Supervisors (Stirrup, Covington, and Nohe), and FCRC Chairman Anthony Bedell. A full list can be found here, while two statements of support are featured after the break.

 

Many have speculated that the primary between Fimian and Herrity would be “nasty”; while it doesn’t have to be, Keith Fimian wasted no time, distributing at Herrity’s own press conference a negative attack and hitting email inboxes with his statement before Herrity’s own statement went out. (When asked about the primary by a reporter, Herrity reiterated that his campaign was focused on incumbent Gerry Connolly and his record of spending.)

 

Fimian’s decision to go negative on Herrity within 20 minutes of Herrity making his bid official makes a few things clear: First, Fimian is certainly not prepared to exit the race; second, he will do whatever it takes to win the nomination, and third, he is the underdog for the nomination, and believes it himself. Fimian’s biggest theme is setting himself up as an “outsider”, painting the two-year veteran of the Board of Supervisors as a “career politician”.

 

However, Fimian also takes a few direct shots at Herrity, including repeating refuted Democratic talking points from the Chairman’s race about Herrity’s missed votes (Herrity has never missed a board meeting as a Supervisor), and implying that Herrity is a “politician who says one thing and votes another” and who is not committed to “creating jobs, reducing taxes and defending out freedoms”. The rationale behind these attacks aren’t given, nor am I holding my breath for one.

 

While some are speculating about the timing with the special election last night and others are focused on the brewing primary, ultimately, this is unwelcome news for Gerry Connolly, who has a lot to answer for in his short time as a Congressman. As Herrity noted in his speech, Connolly is the Democratic Freshman class president and has voted with Speaker Nancy Pelosi 97% of the time, including on cap-and-trade, trillions of dollars in spending including the stimulus bills, and the unpopular health care bill. He is clearly more interested in promoting Pelosi and President Obama’s liberal agenda than representing the views of his District, and the fact that two candidates who can unseat him are running against him is proof enough of his vulnerability. No matter the consequences of the primary, nasty or otherwise, Republicans should certainly be able to unite together to defeat such a disgustingly adversarial, hyperpartisan, thuggish ogre of a politician.

 

(Read the rest of this entry…)

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Jan 13th by VA Blogger

Media Advisory

Pat Herrity will announce his intentions for the 11th District in 2010

Who: Pat Herrity, Springfield District Supervisor

Where: Springfield District Government Center, 6140 Rolling Road, Springfield, VA‎

When: Springfield District Government Center, Wednesday January 13th 2010 – 11am

Why: Pat Herrity will make public his plans for the 2010 election cycle. Please join Pat for more details.

UPDATE: Again, stating that I am proudly working with the Fimian campaign(TC). You can endorse Keith publicly by clicking here.

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Jan 11th by VA Blogger

Following up on last month’s meeting, which I wrote about here, the 11th District Committee voted 7-3 in favor of a primary at last night’s meeting, settling the deadlock that made a revote necessary. The two Prince William County representatives switched their vote, joining everyone else but our three State Central members, who held firm to a convention.

 

The nomination process is irrelevent unless there is more than one candidate in the race. The buzz the last several weeks has been about the potential entry of Supervisor Pat Herrity into the race. Chris was among the first to post speculation a few days before Ben broke the news all the way back in December, claiming that Herrity would make an announcement by the end of the year. Three days ago, RedNova said that Herrity would make an announcement “today or tomorrow”, which got Lowell to bite. And now Ben is re-breaking the news, expecting a “major development” by the end of the day. This is all on top of repeated Washington Post coverage (here, here, here, and here), which bizzarely led BVBL to suspect a media conspiracy.

 

I don’t know who anyone’s source is, nor do I have any fancy “party officials” or “sources (plural)” close to the decision-making process of my own. All I know is that there has been no official decision yet, and I’d be surprised if Herrity announced anything before Steve Hunt’s January 12th Special Election.

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Jan 08th by VA Blogger

On choosing between a convention or a primary for the 11th District race, the 11th District Committee deadlocked Thursday night 5-5, delaying the decision until January 7th.

 

Supporters of a primary (including myself) expected a primary to succeed, if for no other reason than the fact that even Keith Fimian has expressed support for it. The five votes for a convention included the three State Central members, who are part of the convention-at-all-costs crowd (and who supported Jeff Frederick this Spring), and more surprisingly, two reps from Prince William County. This is despite the fact that, in a convention, Fairfax County’s votes outweigh PWC 2-to-1, even if PWC turns out 1,000 more people. The result: PWC ends up with virtually no say in who the nominee is, and any candidate from PWC is automatically marginalized.

 

I won’t go through again the reasons why primaries do nothing but help the candidates (and the party) and conventions do the exact opposite. Suffice to say, this is our last chance to take out Gerry Connolly before he potentially strengthens his hold in redistricting and we’re stuck with him forever, a la Jim Moran. The last thing we need is to weaken our candidate(s) out of the gate. Unfortunately, by delaying another three weeks, we’ve already begun down that path.
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Dec 19th by VA Blogger

The rumors have been out there for a while, but Ben when ahead and broke the news as official: Pat Herrity will be challenging freshman Gerry Connolly for Congress in 2010. I hope to have more later.

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Dec 14th by VA Blogger

herrityforcongressAmy Gardner is out with a report that doesn’t really report much—just that Pat Herrity, who barely lost a county-wide special election to fill Rep. Gerry Connolly’s seat, may be seeking again to replace Connolly, this time in Congress. Ever since Herrity’s near-win, speculation about his future political career has run rampant in GOP circles (Herrity is preparing another run for County Chairman in 2011, though he hasn’t yet made up his mind). But I’m not sure that a run for Congress plays into that future, even if he would stand a good chance of knocking off Connolly.


The more interesting news from my standpoint is that he’s been approached numerous times to throw his name into the ring… as has Del. Tim Hugo, another GOP rising star that I think would be a great candidate (see my post from two years ago). Now, I like Keith Fimian and I think he did a good job as a first-time candidate in 2008 when the cards were obviously stacked against him. However, I believe primaries are good for the party, and I’m anxious to see if anyone actually does get in the race. Apparently, many in the party are anxious to see that as well.


UPDATE: TC here, wanted to disclose I am a supporter of Keith’s and am working with him this cycle. This past weekend we launched a new website design at http://www.keithfimian.com

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Nov 18th by VA Blogger

1. Bob McDonnell

 

This is a no-brainer. We’ve been hearing for the past several years that, while Virginia is a “purple” state, Fairfax is a “blue” county, and Republicans would be lucky to get 45% here. There was a big movement after Obama got 60% of the vote here to sweep out the last remaining House Republicans in the County. And through strength of message, strength of personality, and strength of campaigning, McDonnell not only competed in Fairfax, but won it outright.

 

Much credit goes to FCRC Chairman Anthony Bedell, who in less than a year has energized the party, swelled its membership, raised money, and put together a focused strategy that resulted in Bob carrying the county, defending three House incumbents, and picking up two more. The biggest component of the strategy? Running strong candidates in almost every district in the County, which aided immensely with field organization and get out the vote efforts.

 

2. Patty Reed

 

While you could argue that other victories were more important, I want to highlight this race for a few reasons. First, because Providence is solid Democratic territory, yet Reed won by over 1,500 votes. That’s a great job of candidate recruitment and utilizing resources by District Chairman Matt Ames.

 

Second, and perhaps more importantly, it’s a huge win over the Gerry Connolly machine, in the district Connolly served as a Supervisor, against Connolly’s hand-picked choice. We can debate amongst ourselves what that may mean for 2010 and the future.

 

Thirdly, and most importantly, it’s another Republican elected to a County Board, joining two other Republicans on the School Board and three Republicans on the Board of Supervisors. Having that presence in four districts, coupled with recent wins in other districts (McDonnell, Comstock, Herrity in Dranesville, Herrity in Mt Vernon) and recent momentum in Fairfax (Herrity and Cook) paints a very interesting picture for 2011.

 

3. Jim LeMunyon & Barbara Comstock

 

Unseating an incumbent is always a tall order, but to do it by over 1,000 votes (as LeMunyon did) is very impressive. Congratulations are also in order to Comstock, who many (particularly hopeful Democrats) wrote off because of her national connections and completely overestimated Vanderhye’s support and underestimated Comstock’s legitimate community ties and connection to Frank Wolf.

 

4. Dave Albo, Tom Rust, and Tim Hugo

 

Hugo wasn’t seriously challenged, but Albo and Rust damn sure were. These two incumbents had large targets on their backs from the day after Election Day 2007, and those targets only grew after Obama’s victory last year. Yet neither panicked or changed their successful gameplan, causing their opponents to scramble, particularly as Deeds’ destruction became more and more evident. As a result, Tom Rust won by over 1,200 votes and Dave Albo won by over 3,000 in a race many considered the best pickup opportunity for Democrats.

 

5. Mark Keam, by way of Steve Shannon

 

A tough and narrow loss for Jim Hyland, who was caught in an unfortunate catch-22. With Steve Shannon running for Attorney General, Keam could ride his coattails; without Steve Shannon running for AG, there would be no open seat to compete in. How much does Keam have Shannon to thank for? Bob McDonnell carried the 35th by 670 votes, while Steve Shannon carried it by more than 2,100. Mark Keam only won by 350 votes.

 

6. David Bulova

 

Two Democratic delegates in a row on this list, but this one is more of an afterthought, as Bulova’s victory came when he was left unchallenged after T.J. Funkhouser dropped out of the race in early April. So why even mention it? Because McDonnell carried the 37th District by over 1,000 votes. Meanwhile, Bulova only got 67% of the vote against two third-party candidates. This would easily have been a third pickup for Republicans. C’est la vie.

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Nov 04th by VA Blogger

connolly

goes to Lowell Feld and Gerry Connolly, with public speculation that Boss Connolly may be interested in running for Governor in 2013.


The idea is so far-fetched as to not even warrant active discussion, except to ponder the hysteria that might result on Not Larry Sabato if the 2013 race ends up being between Gerry Connolly and Ken Cuccinelli.

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Sep 25th by VA Blogger

NLS has the full story. Seriously, how can anybody like this guy?

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Aug 10th by VA Blogger

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