November 2006

Now That’s What I’m Talking About!

By Loudoun Insider

Wally Covington, Republican PWC Supervisor, has introduced a bill freezing all residential development for the next year, as reported in today’s WaPo. The primary reason stated is to get Richmond’s attention to the inequities of transportation dollars raised and spent in NoVA. Covington was spurred by the recent 80% approval of a $300 million local road bond, and has stated bipartisan support for his radical measure.

The building industry has a total stranglehold on the General Assembly, but they are losing their grip on local governments. Kaine has backpedaled furiously from his proposals to better link land use and transportation, and predictably reacts to this proposal with derision. This isn’t about the House’s refusal to raise taxes for transportation, it’s all about returning more of NoVA’s huge generation of state tax dollars.Â

This is the kind of over the top action that all NoVA governments need to take to rattle the cages in Richmond on this issue. Of course, don’t expect the Loudoun BOS to jump on this bandwagon, at least not until after the 2007 elections!

Thanksgiving

By Too Conservative

“I do therefore invite my fellow-citizens in every part of the United States, and also those who are in foreign lands, to set apart and observe the last Thursday of November next as a day of thanksgiving and praise to our beneficent Father who dwelleth in the heavens. And I recommend to them that while offering up the ascriptions justly due to Him for such singular deliverances and blessings they do also, with humble penitence for our national perverseness and disobedience, commend to His tender care all those who have become widows, orphans, mourners, or sufferers in the lamentable civil strife in which we are unavoidably engaged, and fervently implore the imposition of the Almighty hand to heal the wounds of the nation and to restore it, as soon as may be consistent with the divine purpose, to the full enjoyment of peace, harmony, tranquillity, and union.”

In testimony whereof I have hereunto set my hand and caused the seal of the United States to be affixed.

Done at the city of Washington, this 3d day of October, A.D. 1863, and of the Independence of the United States the eighty-eighth.

Abraham LincolnÂ

By the President:
William H. Seward,
Secretary of State.

Â

Hager, Smith To Support Gillespie

By Too Conservative

It appears Ed Gillespie will be the new Chairman of RPV.

Â

….more to come later

Border Security, or Lack Thereof

By Loudoun Insider

Ric James at Hooda Thunk has a great post up about this topic, click on the Hooda Thunk link on the blogroll for more. I also read an interesting article in, of all mags, this month’s Soldier of Fortune pointing out the ridiculous overblown “Virtual Fence” solutions that are broken or worthless most of the time. But of course the government contractors have really cleaned up with our tax dollars – I think we’d get much better bang for our buck with good old fashioned barb wire.

Where do we stand now with Bush and a Democratic Congress in regard to real border security? Ric James and others have opined that we’ll probably see a series of delays and excuses for installing the promised fence. Unfortunately I probably believe this will be the case. What in the world is it going to take to get this BS under control?

Cuccinelli Challengers?

By Loudoun Insider

This was sent to me by a party insider, obviously not in the Cuccinelli camp:

With the 2006 election behind us, reliable sources, within the 37th Senate District, are noticing a ground swell of anti-Cuccenilli sentiment among strong conservative Republicans and constituents. The majority feel he is unelectable and fear they will loose the seat with him as the candidate. Republicans are asking him not to seek re election for the betterment of the Republican Party and to save the Majority in the Senate. He has proven, over the last five years, to be the most ineffective legislator in Richmond, unable to pass any legislation and unable to work with his colleagues. Further indication that Mr Cuccenilli is not a team player was demonstrated on November 7th when he failed to cover his precinct with volunteers.
Has anyone heard any potential names for republican challengers? NLS recently stated that Janet Oleszek, a Fairfax School Board member, will be Cooch’s likely Dem opponent.

Our Next Senator

By Too Conservative

Jim Webb joined Senator-elect Tester of Montana on Meet the Press Sunday for a fairly wide-ranging interview (transcript here). It was a little disconcerting to bounce back and forth between the two gentlemen, but the interview was of sufficient length to be informative. What continues to be of interest to me is watching Mr. Webb fill in his issue card on matters other than Iraq. He’s a smart guy and I’m hoping that this little “class warfare” number that he tried on in a WSJ op-ed and again on MTP is discarded before he goes out in public very much with it. I sort of detect that he’s not entirely comfortable with it. It’s definitely not you, Senator.

On Iraq, Webb made an interesting comparison with Viet Nam. He said that to this day, he could make a cogent case for our decision to get into Viet Nam, however poorly executed the conflict was. Iraq, he contends, differs in terms of the wisdom of the initial decision to assert military force (Read it for yourself – I hope that is a fair paraphrase from memory). Personally, I don’t find those distinctions compelling. In Viet Nam we slid slowly and stupidly down a long slope from having a few advisors on the ground to full-scale military involvement. Like people who feel that if they yell loud enough, they will eventually get their way, we kept turning up the volume of troop levels and air action looking for the point at which the other side would break.  Webb is probably right in that in Viet Nam, U.S. decision-makers had hard, objective, uncontroversial evidence South Viet Nam was not dealing solely with indigenous unrest, but was also facing armed intervention from military forces of the Hanoi regime. Where things fell flat at a cost of tens of thousands of American lives and many times that number of casualties was the national interest analysis at different levels of troop and military resource commitment.  To this day I am convinced that a major part of the problem was LBJ’s psyche. He was used to having his way and could not stand the idea of having to reverse or even alter course.

Whatever the wisdom of the Iraq invasion, whatever the shortcomings of the execution of the post-April 2003 phases, Iraq remains a problem without a clear solution. Webb seems to realize this and is treading very carefully around any particular prescriptions for exit. I was encouraged to hear him identify clearly that there are three problems that, while related, cannot be mushed together with any hope of success: 1. Stabilizing the Israel/Palestine dispute; 2. Having an effective anti-terrorist policy; and 3. dealing with Iraq. Problem 1 has been abjectly and irresponsibly ignored by the United States for almost six years. Problem 3 distracts and perhaps exacerbates Problem 2. Problem 2 is no nearer solution now than it was in 2003. In some ways, things are worse on that front. While Iraq had little to do with the threat to the United States from international terrorism pre-2003, a hurried exit from there by the U.S. military will leave an environment far more dangerous to us than Afghanistan was pre-2001.

  No single United States senator is going to get this sorted out, but they can stimulate discussion and debate. My hope is that Webb is enough his own man that he’ll protect us (and everyone in Iraq whose life depends on our presence) from the worst instincts of some of his colleagues in his adoptive Party.     Â

Smith To Challenge Gillespie

By Too Conservative

Chuck Smith from Tidewater will run against Ed Gillespie, and has been calling around state central members.

…more to come

Gillespie Calls State Central Members

By Too Conservative

Reports abound that former RNC Chair Ed Gillespie has been calling state central members asking for their votes, as well he should be.

It looks as though he will head into the Advance as the all-but-sure choice.

Upcoming Loudoun Elections

By Loudoun Insider

Starting very soon I’ll be doing a weekly series on the various upcoming Loudoun elections, one by one, a la NLS’ ongoing state Senate series. I’ll look at the 2003 local election results and recent state and national election stats along with the likely players in each race. As we have all seen, this is going to be a very interesting year in Loudoun politics.

Please use this thread to post any rumors you’re hearing in regard to likely candidates, and please feel free to email me with anything you may want to keep under the radar.

Less Here Than Meets the Eye?

By Too Conservative

The Post today has one of its periodically recurring articles about internecine warfare within the Republican Party in Virginia. I’m reluctant to draw grand conclusions from this immediately past election. To be sure, one can masticate the precinct-by-precinct, district-by-district data and see a trend toward the continued “bluing” of Virginia, particularly north of the line of the Rappahannock. But the Webb/Allen race was a one-off phenomenon. Webb was an unusual candidate for the Democrats to run, a combat-decorated marine with strong Republican ties to the past, who had the clarity of vision to see the problems in Iraq before we got into them. Allen, who had been one of the most avid, un-nuanced cheerleaders for the War until the very end-game of the campaign,  personally made certain that the race was interesting by jettisoning most of his natural lead at the starting line through personal gaffes and campaign response blunders. Take away the War, or take away Webb’s atypical background, or take away Macacca (how the hell do you spell that, anyway?), and it’s all Republican all the time around the Commonwealth in 2006.

2005 was the un-ignorable wake-up call for Republicans in Virginia. Kilgore lost, Bolling barely could beat a Bella Abzug impersonator, and McDonnell eked out a 300+ vote win, albeit against a strong Democratic candidate. That’s what I call a disaster. We’ve spent the last year pretending it didn’t happen. Â

It’s always fun to see Jim Parmelee quoted predictably explaining that the problem is that Republicans just aren’t “anti-tax” enough. A modest proposal is that we field-test Parmelee’s approach by having all Republicans in the 2007 GA races run on a purely and vehemently “anti-tax” platform (whatever that really means in terms of practical governance) and watch the species get completely wiped out, at least in Northern Virginia.  That will give us a clean slate to work from at the 2007 Advance. Perhaps then we could finally talk about what happened in 2005.Â

 Â