Simpson Needs Speakman, But It Won’t Help
I said from early on that Ron Speakman, a former mortgage broker in a county with big real estate deal shenanigans going on, would lose the Republican Sheriff nomination and run as an Independent. The writing was on the wall from an early stage that this was part of the grand GOBGN plan. I am still not convinced that Speakman is aware of this role in this – I really do think he’s crazy enough to think that he deserves to be Sheriff. But the Simpson folks know that and Speakman continues to play the patsy role very well.
Simpson needs Speakman in this race for several reasons. The main one is that he has won his last two elections by decreasing pluralities. Simpson won with 43.7% of the vote in 2003 against four challengers, getting 17,258 votes out of a total 39,494 cast. In 2007 he won with only 37.3% of the vote against two challengers, getting 20,117 votes out of the total 53,882 cast. There were 14,388 additional votes cast, but Simpson only increased his vote total by 2,859 and lost 5.4% of the proportional vote total. Simpson only got 19.9% of the additional vote increase from 2003 to 2007. Not exactly a convincing statement that he deserves to be re-elected or will do any better this time around.
In a two way race with Chapman, Simpson goes down hard, especially since Chapman has drawn strong support from both parties, including the endorsements of Simpson’s two 2007 challengers, Republican Greg Ahlemann and Democrat Mike George. Throw money bags Speakman into the race and it complicates things a bit. Please notice this past week’s full page ad from Speakman had no criticism of Simpson whatsoever – it’s all anti-Chapman all the time from the bitter loser. Simpson wants to sit back and play Mr. Nice Guy while Speakman trashes his only real opponent for him, but their patsy destroyed himself with his texting of penis photos to a female campaign volunteer. Their wild card turned out to be pretty darn wild after all.
As much as the Simpson lackeys and the real estate cabal that thinks they run this county want it to be different, the unfortunate fact of the matter for them is that there is going to be a new Sheriff in town. One who will bring LCSO into the 21st century and not show them any favoritism. No wonder they’re scared.