Why Wouldn’t Hillary Win in 2016?
A recent article, using some iffy polling data, names Hillary Clinton the odds-on favorite to win the presidential election in 2016. But why wouldn’t she win? In fact, I’d say she’s the Republicans’ worst nightmare.
First of all, next to Obama, she’ll look moderate. Heck, she’ll look like the model of moderation – which, of course, will draw the moderate/independent vote which the Republicans likely still will be ignoring in 2016. Second, if Republicans continue to clutch the abortion issue like the political anchor it is, she’ll do so much better with women, and especially young women, that it will crush any Republican nominee. Third, she has the creds – domestic experience as a senator and international experience and Obama’s secretary of state. That’s something no Republican candidate will be able to beat. Finally, this isn’t her first time to the Big Dance, and she’ll have plenty of time to dust off machine, oil it and get it running again. In other words, she’s inherently tough to beat.
Republicans, on the other hand, need to a new prayer book. Just like you don’t see people debating Free Silver anymore, it’s time to rethink the party’s position on some core issues – like abortion and immigration. It’s also time to engage more with folks who aren’t white and Protestant. Campaign in their language and in their neighborhoods, and embrace (not just tolerate) religious and cultural differences. In other words, build a bigger, more welcoming tent.
Look, it’s already looking poor for Republicans in 2016 and we’re six days into that race. They have a few years to recover, but unless Republicans achieve some fundamental changes, we’re looking not at just four more years, but a solid 16 year run of Democrats in the White House.