Most likely VP selections?

By VA Blogger

Here’s my take. What’s yours?

1. Gov. Kathy Sebelius (KS)
2. Sen. Joe Biden (DE)
3. Former Sen. Sam Nunn (GA)
4. Former Sen. Tom Daschle (SD)
5. Gov. Tim Kaine (VA)

1. Former Gov. Mitt Romney (MA)
2. Gov. Tim Pawlenty (MN)
3. Gov. Charlie Crist (FL)
4. Rep. Eric Cantor (VA)
5. Former Gov. Tom Ridge (PA)

My top GOP pick is Rep. Mike Pence (IN), but I don’t see that happening.


Comments

  • Jose Kinusee says:

    My insider info says Tom Ridge. We shall see.

  • Ridge would be a good choice. But you lose some evangelicals (he’s a pro-choice guy I think).

    VA Blogger, why do you think Huckabee is now on no one’s list?

  • G. Stone says:

    Your choice of Mike Pence is very good. Two thumbs up !
    Given the state of the economy and the need to reach out to conservatives, Gov. Romney is his best bet.
    He should stay away from Charlie Crist. The other 4 are all quality people. Being a conservative I gravitate towards Romney or Cantor, but see the others as very capable people.

  • get er right says:

    It will be Biden and Romney. Distant seconds: Kaine & Pawlenty

  • VA Blogger says:

    EB:

    It’s not that I don’t like Huckabee, but I don’t think he’s the candidate McCain needs. The strengths Huckabee brings to the table doesn’t match up with McCain’s weaknesses as well as others do, and the weaknesses McCain has aren’t answered by Huckabee.

    Plus, he’s getting a new gig as a commentator.

  • I tried to find the thread back in January but waaaay back then I predicted Obama/Biden, McCain/Huckabee. Right after NH I think.

    Not bad for January.

  • RichmondDem says:

    For the Democrats, it will be Evan Bayh. Good, solid pick too and helps in Indiana and Ohio. Biden would be second.

    My top pick is Gov. Mike Easley (NC). Hes like Kaine except universally popular in his state and much more charismatic. but that doesn’t seem to be in the cards, unless theres a big surprise.

  • My personal picks for the Republican ticket would be McCain/Cantor. However, if he selects Pawlenty, I would be happy with his choice.

    As for the Democrats side, Obama should pick Tim Kaine (since he abandoned his duties as Governor of Virginia to be a full time Obama cheerleader). Another good pick for Obama would Joe Biden. Biden is certainly going to be making some gaffes that will benefit the McCain ticket.

  • VA Blogger says:

    RD:

    From what I’ve heard, Easley is done with campaigning for good, and has no desire to go to D.C. I thought about Bayh, but I doubt he’d deliver Indiana and every review I’ve heard says he’s boring and uninspiring.

  • RichmondDem says:

    Its a shame Easley has no interest in naticnal politics. He could be a viable candidate for President one day if he wanted it. In the same vein Schwitzer (a guy who clearly has Presidential ambitions) would be great and capitalize on Obama’s surprising competitiveness in Montana and the Dakotas, but I think hes waiting for 2012/2016.

    I just wish there were more centrist red state governors on the list. What about Gov. Phil Bredesen (TN)?

    For McCain, I’d recommend (In all seriousness, not as a kiss of death):

    1) Romney
    2) Cantor
    3) Graham
    4) Palin
    5) Gov. Haley Barbour (MS)

  • G. Stone says:

    If Biden gets the nod he will have to see if Niel Kinnock is available to write his speeches for him.
    If Obama is smart he will pick someone off of the DLC list, Evan Bayh is his best bet.
    His base , the moonbats from Moveon.org , the dailey Kos and Huffington Post will have a minor freak out before falling in line.

  • RichmondDem says:

    Let me say that I’d put Crist #1 if not for the fact he used to frequent a gay club in the early ’90s called the Green Iguana. The last thing McCain needs is a Larry Craig on the ticket.

  • AFF says:

    Does Richardson have no interest in the VP spot?

    It seems like his energy experience would play well but I don’t see him on any short lists.

  • RichmondDem says:

    There won’t be a ticket with a black guy in first place and a hispanic in second place. It’d change obama’s candidacy from “historical” to “overly-PC”.

  • I know I’ll get some pushback here, but Cantor? Eck. I don’t see how his name makes it into the top 10.

  • VA Blogger says:

    He’s impressed the right people.

  • NoVA Scout says:

    Any McCain VP has to be someone who inspires confidence that he/she is ready to be President. No knock on McCain, but it’s an important way to offset concerns about his age. Is there anyone in the United States who thinks Eric Cantor is presidential material?

    Didn’t think so. Ridge and Romney are the only ones on VB’s list who meet that criterion.

  • Tidbit says:

    Tom Ridge was a nightmare as head of Homeland Security. Horrible at organization, getting through red tape, dealing with turf wars, or meeting goals. Huge sigh of relief there when he left.

  • RichmondDem says:

    Be fair to Tom Ridge. The very idea to create a Homeland Security department was stupid. We didn’t need it. Its done nothing but create a bureaucratic morass. Superman would have a difficult time running it.

    I.e., before it was created FEMA was a very good, effective government department. Trying to integrate it into the HS structure has nearly destroyed it.

  • Matt says:

    Pawlenty & Bill Richardson

  • VA Blogger says:

    NS:

    I would include Pawlenty on that list as well.

  • Tom in NJ says:

    Cantor is strong, can win VA, helps in the South AND Northeast in states like NJ and he is young. A woman would be good (except my state’s former governor). Hutichison from Texas is a good pick.

  • RichmondDem says:

    What Tom said. And the Jewish vote in Florida. Hes also very right wing which is where McCain’s weakness is–with the base. As much as I absolutely despise his positions as a political decision McCain choosing him would make a lot of sense in regards to helping him strategically.

    But theres a risk. He could also be another Dan Quayle. How much does McCain want to gamble? Thats the question.

  • NoVA Scout says:

    Is Cantor of sufficient quality and experience that he could be President of the United States on 1 February 2009? No way.

  • Jose Kinusee says:

    McCain has been long time friends with Tom Ridge–this puts him at the top of the list.

    However, after the very strong ‘presidential’ Obama showing before 200K Germans, this all may be a moot point.

    Obama will choose John Edwards once it is determined that Edwards was just having late evening prayers with a young lady at the Beverly Hills Hotel between 10PM and 3AM.

  • Loudoun Moderate says:

    I know he’s a long shot but I still like NY Mayor Bloomberg as McCain’s VP. Otherwise, Romney would be my choice.

    On the D side, it’s a toss-up between Daschle and Nunn.

  • G. Stone says:

    If McCain picks Bloomberg ,he can kiss any shot at the presidency goodbye. Conservatives, primarily those concerned with constitutional rights abandon McCain in droves.

    Bloomberg wants to be King of Nanny Town. He wants your guns, your cigarettes, your cheeseburger and anything else he deems not in your best interest. He is in favor of freedom as long as he gets to define its parameters. Bloomberg is the poster child of the nanny state liberal. Further, as smart as he is relative to his business ventures he is a bit confused politically.First he is a Democrat, then he is a Republican and now he is an independent. This man does not know what he wants to be when he grows up. This leads one to the obvious conclusion, Bloomberg is simply a political opportunist.

    His last foray into Virginia politics was a disaster. Outside of the very liberal world of NY city politics no one likes this guy.

  • RichmondDem says:

    No way McCain picks a pro-choice running mate, period.

    If he does that there will be blood at the convention. I THINK hes not that stupid.

  • The Bulletproof Monk says:

    I’ve said from the start what NoVA Scout reiterates here. Young and take charge. G….when was Romney evangelical? Was it on one of his flip-flops with abortion? And was his final flop for or against abortion? I forget.
    Of course, I never really figured out what about the man made conservatives get all misty…
    However, You’re dead on about Bloomberg.
    When Loudoun Moderate said “On the D side”,
    I thought he had just mentioned the “D” side when he brought up Bloomberg.

  • The Bulletproof Monk says:

    Kinusee…..that’s hilarious. But in all seriousness…think Gary Hart here, friend. It’s over.

  • G. Stone says:

    Monk:

    If you go back to comments I made during the primary season you see that I was never a supporter and still have reservations regarding Romney’s conservatism. However, given the list
    as advertised my choices are limited. With the economy playing an ever increasing role, his selection as VP does seem to make sense.
    Your question regarding his evangelical status is better asked to someone who considers them selves an evangelical.

  • Jose Kinusee says:

    T B Monk,

    Yes, it is sayonara for Edwards’s political career. But when your worth $400M, who cares.

    Also, it is hard for me to take politics seriously. . . . I find human nature quite funny. From the wack jobs to the liberals, it is all a merry-go-round o’laughter.

  • NoVA Scout says:

    Romney or Ridge would be strong choices. Romney doesn’t have the military experience, but he knows how a few meaningless words can put the rank and file of what these days thinks of itself as the “conservative” “base” of the Party into complete paroxysms of orgiastic devotion for a fairly pragmatic, moderate businessman-governor from Massachusetts. We get the best of both worlds – the “base” purrs AND we get a fairly savvy guy who understands national and international finance, economics, and markets. How many candidates on the national scene can do that? Plus he looks great on TV.

  • RichmondDem says:

    NoVA Scout, Ridge would be strong but do you really think the party would allow McCain to nominate a pro-choice candidate? Its even less likely than the Democrats nominating a pro-lifer.

  • RichmondDem says:

    Theres a lot of buzz about Kaine just this evening. I have a feeling the VP pick is coming soon for Obama, and that its Kaine.

  • Jose Kinusee says:

    RD,

    The buzz is a ruse. Obama would not choose someone that hasn’t had military experience. He will choose an old sage such as Nunn or Biden. No doubt that Kaine will be part of his administration though.

  • RichmondDem says:

    I’d be cool with Biden. He runs off at the mouth a little much, but NO ONE would question his ability to step right in as President on a moment’s notice if God forbid he received that phone call. He also secures Pennsylvania–much of Delaware is in the Philly media market so hes well known there.

    Nunn, not so much. A little too conservative (no pun intended) IMHO, his idiotic opposition to gays in the military being the most obvious example. Also, too old.

  • Are you kidding? Huck would be great. He would generate the kind of enthusiasm and energy needed to offset Obama that McCain doesn’t have. In addition he is solid on the issues conservatives care about. Adapted a really tough policy on illegal immigration based on Mark Krikorian’s work. Hopefully that could influence McCain. And lets not forget McCain won’t be running for re-election in 2012. That would place Huck in an advantageos position if he were VP. If it’s Romney, I’m out, would rather make a write in.

  • NoVA Scout says:

    RD: you make a fair and important point about Ridge on abortion rights. Not sure how McCain would get that past the pro-life wing of the Party or how damaging it would be in the general election (it might attract as many voters as it loses, but I really have no idea). Certainly on every other point, Ridge would be a well-credentialled candidate.

  • Ridge or Romney, both have different evangelical issues with the same net negative affect. So given the choice between those two, I would think McCain would certainly go Ridge.

  • RichmondDem says:

    Absolutely Ridge would be a great choice for McCain if he would get over that hurdle. Hes the Republican VP choice I fear the most, by far. I just don’t see it happening.

    Pennsylvania is a weird state politically. They seem to have a lot of pro-choice Republicans, and a lot of pro-life Democrats.

  • You will not publish my previous comments that Huckabee would be the best choice for McCain? That Huck would generate the kind of enthusiasm and energy that McCain doesn’t, which would be an excellent counter to the Obama camp? That Huck is an all around conservative, pro-life, adapted a really tough policy on illegal immigration. Why are the comments not published? And I don’t even see a contact for you, such as e-mail. Would greatly appreciate your feedback. We have the same conservative outlook.

  • G. Stone says:

    With Nunn, the Dems would at least have a grown up in one room of the White House.

  • Jose Kinusee says:

    JC,

    Don’t get your drawers in a teasy. . . you’ve been moderated. Happens to me all the time.

    Just relax and have a few. . they usually get thru.

  • B Reynolds says:

    If you look at the online voting, Romney is ahead by a landslide. Not a bad idea considering he could help win the states he carried in the primaries, such as Maine, Alaska, Colorado, Massachusetts, Montana, Minnesota, North Dakota and Utah. I also believe his background and experience would be extremely valuable in turning this economy around. If McCain picks Romney for his VP, he definitely has my vote.

  • M.D. says:

    Mitt just might be able to do that! Look at his experience:
    Business career

    After graduation, Romney remained in Massachusetts and went to work for the Boston Consulting Group, where he had interned during the summer of 1974.[10] From 1978 to 1984, Romney was a vice president of Bain & Company, Inc., another management consulting firm based in Boston. In 1984, Romney left Bain & Company to co-found a spin-off private equity investment firm, Bain Capital.[11] During the 14 years he headed the company, Bain Capital’s average annual internal rate of return on realized investments was 113 percent,[12] making money primarily through leveraged buyouts.[13] He invested in or bought many well-known companies such as Staples, Brookstone, Domino’s, Sealy Corporation and Sports Authority.[14]

    In 1990, Romney was asked to return to Bain & Company, which was facing financial collapse. As CEO, Romney managed an effort to restructure the firm’s employee stock-ownership plan, real-estate deals and bank loans, while increasing fiscal transparency. Within a year, he had led Bain & Company through a highly successful turnaround and returned the firm to profitability without layoffs or partner defections.

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