Rasmussen: McDonnell +9, Back in Control
Bob McDonnell: 49% (47%)
Creigh Deeds: 39% (42%)
When pushing undecideds into leaners, we get:
Bob McDonnell: 51% (48%)
Creigh Deeds: 42% (46%)
In two weeks, McDonnell has turned a +2 toss-up into a +9 lead (+5 into +10 with leaners). This is the third IVR poll conducted this week, following SurveyUSA (+14) and PPP (+5); I’ll have my thoughts on those polls and others later today.
According to Rasmussen, Deeds leads among women (+5), but McDonnell is up big among men (+26) and even bigger among Independents (a ridiculous 62-22 spread, or +40). Deeds may be shoring up his base with his continued cultural attacks on McDonnell and support for a tax increase, but its clearly coming at the expense of Independents.
Though there is a mistake on their topline report, the image scores remain favorable for McDonnell, who is viewed favorable by 53% and unfavorably by 37%, compared to 46%/45% for Deeds..
Just over half (51%) say McDonnell’s thesis is important. Regarding actual issues pertaining to governing, McDonnell continues his vast lead over Deeds on taxes (51%-36%) and spending (46%-30%), and now has a double-digit lead on transportation as well (45%-32%).
Interestingly, nearly as many say Mark Warner’s endorsement would make them more likely (33%) to vote for Deeds as less likely (30%), while a plurality (34%) say it would have no impact. Speaking of “no impact”, Doug Wilder’s non-endorsement, while a slap in the face to the Deeds campaign, is recorded as “no impact” by 80% of respondents. In the crosstabs, that number drops to 73% among African-Americans, but 17% say Wilder’s non-endorsement makes them more likely to vote for Deeds. Intriguing.
President Obama’s approval stands at 52%/48%, while Chairman Kaine clocks in at 59%/40%. More to come on all the polls later on, so stay tuned.