Tim Kaine Hedging His Bets on Deeds?

By VA Blogger

At the end of his coverage of the latest Rasmussen, Waynesboro County Committee Chairman Chris Graham posts what he’s hearing as a Democratic unit chairman:


“The bad poll news comes on the heels of a story circulating in Democratic circles today that the Democratic National Committee is reportedly holding on to its $5 million financial commitment to the Deeds campaign out of concern that the Deeds campaign has focused too much of its attention on the controversial Bob McDonnell 1989 grad-school thesis setting out a hardline social-conservative political agenda for his budding political career and not enough on putting down a framework for what a Deeds administration would do for Virginia.”


The obvious implications are huge: If the RNC keeps its $7 million commitment, McDonnell’s cash advantage could grow from $2 million-and-change to more than three times that, which will help not only on television but investment in the ground game both sides agree will be key to winning or losing. Furthermore, it represents a two-fold vote of “no confidence” in Creigh Deeds’ campaign, and indeed in Deeds’ own ability to communicate a message or even to govern.


The more interesting implications of this move are Chairman Kaine’s role in all of this. Obviously, he takes his DNC marching orders from the White House, so the question is: Did Tim Kaine fight for a continued investment in Creigh Deeds, or was Kaine the voice-in-the-ear that prompted this decision?


It also raises an interesting question about Barack Obama’s potential involvement in the campaign. Thus far, Obama has taken a cautious approach to using his political capital in races like NY-20 and the New Jersey Governor’s race. Obviously he has participated somewhat on behalf of Deeds, but if the Obama-controlled DNC bails on the race, what are the chances of Obama committing any more effort?


Bob Holsworth wrote a few days ago in his list of ten reasons why both sides think they’ll win: “4. Obama will make voters forget the Wilder betrayal”. Can the Creigh Deeds campaign generate the kind of African-American turnout necessary to win without Doug Wilder and without Barack Obama? I have my doubts.


This is just a rumor, from one unit chairman in one part of the commonwealth, and decisions like these are never set in stone. But if the rumor holds up, in part or in whole, $5 million represents a lot of missing voter contacts, which could have significant ramifications from the top of the ticket all the way down. Keep your eye on this story.

.


Comments

  • Not John S. Mosby says:

    Most of the $5 million from the DNC has already arrived, so no truth to that rumor. As to the Waynesboro CITY (not a county) chair, a rural committee with a few dozen members isn’t exactly tied in tight with the statewide campaigns.

  • kelley in virginia says:

    guess you’re not heading out to campaign in Augusta county, huh? for your information, Waynesboro is a happening place.

  • Greg L says:

    Deeds shouldn’t sweat it too much. The AFSCME labor union just dropped $400K into the Deeds campaign this week, and no doubt SEIU and ACORN will come to the rescue of their standard-bearer in Virginia. If the DNC holds up their cash, labor unions determined to undermine our “right to work” state will undoubtably be eager to make up the difference.

    Some might wonder what these labor unions are hoping for if they somehow manage to rescue the Deeds campaign, though.

  • Not John S. Mosby says:

    Yes Kelley, and as you know, in Virginia, cities are independent and not part of the surrounding/bordering county or counties. Thus, Waynesboro – and Staunton – are not part of Augusta County, and have their own separate Democratic Committees. Waynesboro is not a county.

  • kelley in virginia says:

    yup Not john.

  • Moi says:

    If the DNC has already delivered most of their $5M, then Deeds is TOAST…

  • Not John S. Mosby says:

    It’s been delivered, but not yet spent.

  • Dan says:

    Not John S. Mosby, you are spoiling the narrative! The spin is that the Democratic Party is abandoning Deeds and withholding the funds (why let the fact that this is easily verified as inaccurate get in the way). They are trying to create the impression that this thing is over and that McDonnell’s election is inevitable.
    .
    Besides, you are an iteration behind. The disclosure that the story has no foundation has already taken place, so we are already on spin number two. “Well, they may have already delivered the bulk of the money, but Deeds is through anyway”.
    .
    If you are looking for logic to support spin number two don’t bother. It is the logic of “I say it is so, so it is so”. It’s a Republican thing. You wouldn’t get it.

  • Nate says:

    Whether its true or not, and it was stated up above that it is just a rumor, the situation remains that Deeds is probably NOT in the position he would like to be in at this point in the campaign.

  • Dan says:

    Greg, heaven forbid anyone donating to a Democratic candidate should look for a fair hearing on issues that they, or their members, might have an interest in. If only Democrats were as pure as the driven snow like the Republicans!
    .
    Have you been following the Senate Finance Committee proceedings lately? Did you catch that amendment of Senator Grassley’s? The one that would have eliminated about $7 billion in fees collected from his bosses, the insurance companies. And do you know where Grassley’s amendment would have recovered that $7 billion? By cutting benefits to Medicaid recipients (many of whom get up more than five days a week to go to the multiple low paying jobs without benefits they hold) and LEGAL immigrants (the ones who played by the rules and came here without violating our laws).
    .
    Gee whiz, do you think Grassley’s amendment might have been influenced by insurance industry money? Nah! He’s a swell guy.
    .
    And the fact that his amendment punishes LEGAL immigrants couldn’t have anything to do with appealing to a portion of the Republican base that shares much in common with the No Nothing Party of the 19th century, could it? Nah!
    .
    Republicans are only interested in what’s good for America. They could never be bought! And they would never appeal to people’s baser instincts and prejudices to gain electoral advantage!
    .
    Isn’t make believe fun?

  • Dan says:

    Nate, I certainly wouldn’t argue the point about Deeds not being in the position he would like to be in. I don’t know anyone who wouldn’t prefer being ahead to being behind.
    .
    Call me old fashioned, but I do think that whether things that are reported are true or not is important. I wouldn’t let the reporter for the Augusta Free Press off the hook as easily as you do. When there are rumors, it is a reporter’s job to run them down and tell us if they are based on fact or not. In this case, that would have been pretty easy. Just hearing and repeating rumors in your story doesn’t make you a political reporter. It makes you a gossip columnist.
    .
    And while I don’t mean to be too hard on this blog (which, as I have said before, I think is one of the better ones), a phone call could have verified that the rumor was unfounded before giving the bogus rumor even wider circulation.

  • Michael says:

    Deeds needs a heck of a lot more than money – he needs a personality, a plan for VA, more space from O (too late), an ignorant electorate, ACORN on steriods and a dozen other things if he wants to win…

  • Cato the Elder says:

    5 million is a lot of scratch to be flushing down the toilet.

  • Alter of Freedom says:

    I am sure the folks at the national level are focusing more on that race in New Jersey. Most independents here that supported Webb back in 2006 that I know are supporting Bob and I think that speaks volumes. Kaine has to know that they can play a bit of “Well, Virginia is a tough Purple State” when Deeds loses, but should the Dems lose New Jersey that is a major disaster for them going into 2010 cycle. No way in hell the dems should be within the margin of error in Jersey, but they are and their attention and money will flow into that race. They can’t lose New Jersey. Its as simple as that.

  • RichmondDem says:

    I want Howard Dean back as DNC Chair.

  • Alter of Freedom says:

    Save his healthcare diatribes lately out on the soapbox, I think you might be right RichmondDem. The DNC might be better served by Dean at the helm moving forward. It won’t happen but you can bet no way Kaine last year saw all this coming down. My how things change. Next year is key for Kaine.

  • RichmondDem says:

    Yeah, Kaine can (very reasonably, btw) blame the New Jersey and Virginia race on state-level politics, not national issues. Especially in New Jersey since Christie is about the same place on the political spectrum as Brian Moran.
    .
    My expectations are low for next year. It is VERY difficult for a party to make big gains three Congressional elections in a row. Not even the 1930s Democratic Party under FDR pulled that off. The 1980s Republican Party under Reagan lost big in 1982. If it is essentially a wash (+/- 20 seats in the House, +/- 2 seats in the Senate) Kaine can claim victory and stay on.

  • Cato the Elder says:

    It’ll be more than that, Timmy will get his ass waxed.
    *
    What disturbs me is that we”ll come back to prominance without any leadership, and without fixing any of our fundamental problems, which is a reward for doing nothing simply because you guys fucked up so badly.

  • Alter of Freedom says:

    Yet is’nt the fact that we “f***** up” so badly in the first place that Obama was whisked into office Cato??

  • Cato the Elder says:

    That’s kind of the point AoF. Nothing’s been fixed, and I don’t see anything happening on the near horizon that would change my mind on this. 2010 will be a wave election where unemployment is still around 10% and people will be voting against D’s and not necessarily for R’s.

  • RichmondDem says:

    Cato-
    .
    Republicans lost big in 1982, and in 1984 President Mondale was elected. Uh what? You mean Reagan won in a landslide? Ohhhh yeaaah…well…I forgot about that!
    .
    But there was the 1990s! And President Dole won big in 1996! Oh, what? You mean, he lost? Lost big, even? Oh.

  • Loudoun Lady says:

    Dole was a horrible candidate, as was McCain, as was Mondale.

Leave Comment