What Will Wolf’s Margin of Victory Be?
10th Congressional
Safe Republican
Earlier this year, Jeff Barnett’s campaign manager bragged to some people about his “strategy” of hoping blogs like this one ignored his race to avoid any critiques of his candidate or their performance. When I heard, I decided to give them what they wanted. I’m sure the biggest fan of their “strategy” is Frank Wolf.
I haven’t paid much attention to this race here at TC because I think Barnett is basically invisible anyway and Wolf will cruise to an easy victory. It sounds like Barnett’s campaign manager is an imbecile of the first degree, and maybe he’s the one who came up with those ridiculous Halloweeny (orange with blue lettering!) campaign signs that are so difficult to read, especially at night. This looks to be a stealth campaign that is indeed working as advertised - Barnett remains nearly invisible and will be nearly invisible in the results. I predict Wolf 62, Barnett 37, Redpath 1.
Wolf 55; Barnett 34; Redpath 11
% doesn’t matter. Wolf walks away with it in any case.
Wolf 67; Barnett 32, Redpath 1
Redpath 11%? How do you figure that?
Wolf 65; Barnett 30; Redpath 5.
Is there a prize for the winner of this poll? But we’ll all be winners when Frank Wolf kicks butts again.
Wolf 72.3 % That’s right I said it 72.3%
I will take the under on G’s number. But it’s going to be high.
67/32/1
After reading Loudoun Watchers comment one last time prior to hitting submit (which I almost never do), he has it exactly right!
72.4%…..If the rules are like the Price is Right, I am using my strategery
With a nod to Fibonacci, I will go with 61.8
Wolf won by about 25% in 2008. 2010, he’ll win my a good bit more.
Given the Tea Party influence this year, I think Redpath beats Barnett. Clearly easy sail for Frank. Turnout will determine how easy.
73%. In 2002 it was 72%.
I’ll take some of that! 68%
Redpath….around 4%
69-31 Wolf!!!
Looks like Loudoun Moderate had it nailed.
Final tally:
Wolf 64
Barnett 34
Redpath 2
I was close. I’ll have a wee dram of Famous Grouse and drink to the health of our fine congressman.