Will They Ever Get To Five?
BOS votes, that is, for any Loudoun County redistricting plan. The machinations continue, with Stevens Miller now pushing for the fourth plan put forth by the coalition of large eastern Loudoun HOAs. The HOA 4 Plan is available at Miller’s blog with a narrative. This one is definitely the best put forth yet from the HOAs, but there will still be plenty of opposition to it from Leesburg and western Loudoun interests, and individual supervisors and candidates who won’t be getting what they want. I still do not believe any plan has a solid five votes for it, including this one.
From the Miller perspective, backing some version of the HOA plan gets him the most political mileage for his rumored state Senate run, while this new revision puts him in with his chief nemesis Eugene Delgaudio should he want to stay on the BOS. Miller gets his wish to try to be a Dem hero by beating either Dick Black or Eugene Delgaudio (if he can, which is very doubtful). Rumors continue to swirl about Miller’s wife running against Delgaudio, but the Dems already have three candidates in the running for that district with all sorts of drama developing over their nomination process. I don’t see Mrs. Miller hopping into the middle of that, but who knows.
This plan also dashes Andrea McGimsey’s wishes to be redistricted away from her current constituents. I’ve been hearing that she may be having second thoughts about running for re-election now, and the demise of the LCDC-centric plans and their “go west young woman” theme for McG probably has a lot to do with that.
Western Loudoun interests will still not be happy since it creates a geographically huge western Loudoun district. It also puts candidate Malcolm Baldwin in with Jim Burton, probably precluding a Baldwin run. This plan does open things up for Janet Clarke, however, by putting Geary Higgins in with Leesburg, which he will probably not be too thrilled about.
Leesburg won’t be thrilled about any plan that splits Leesburg in any way, but there appears to be no way to keep Leesburg intact and keep to the population limits for a district. This plan has Leesburg in three districts, but the bulk of it in one, so that may reduce the consternation. Maybe. I have no clue where Kelly Burk and Ken Reid live but they and others do and their concerns will matter.
I really wish Loudoun had more time for this process, and that a truly non-partisan committee (as if that were possible!) could have been put together to handle this process. Unfortunately that was not the hand dealt to Loudoun with the census-election time frame so tight. Loudoun’s ridiculous 84% growth rate since the last census, besting the next highest statewide growth rate (PWC) by nearly 2-1, doesn’t help either. But the time for dithering on this is quickly coming to a close, so let’s hope something we can all live with for ten years emerges.